(A) Study of alternative approaches toward the denuclearization of North Korea

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

The unstable international situation by North Korea’s nuclear weapons development has been started long time ago. Although a lot of efforts had been done by the international community to resolve the issue so far, rather, the issue got more troublesome and became an insoluble problem since the North’s nuclear technology and strategy had been developed and changed significantly. Even though negotiation and sanction had been made in earnest in order to solve the issue after the first North Korean nuclear crisis, in conclusion, all the methods had been failed in breaking the North’s will of nuclear possession. As a matter of fact, after the end of Six Party Talks, the issue has been stuck literally and seems to be an impossibly difficult problem.
In this situation, this study tries to come up with a new alternative in approaching the North’s nuclear issue more realistically. It tries to focus on the current Kim Jong-Un regime’s nuclear strategy, in addition, also tries to focus on the change of the North Korean society to draw possible approach in affecting the North’s nuclear policy. It also addresses other countries’ nuclear renunciation cases which had been done after the end of the Cold War era to draw major motives of denuclearization. Thus, this study tries to present a new alternative approach toward the denuclearization of North Korea by the analysis of the current North Korea and nuclear renunciation case studies. This new approach can be more realistic method in resolving the issue, which already has been a chronic problem for a long time, by focusing the North’s recent strategy and society.

목차 (Table of Contents)

• Chapter 1 Introduction 1
• 1.1 Background of the Study 1
• 1.2 Objectives of the Study 4
• 1.3 Scope and Method 5
• Chapter 2 Analysis of the Current North Korea and Prospects for its Denuclearization 7
• 2.1 North Korea’s Enhancement of its Nuclear Capability 7
• 2.1.1 The Kim Il-Sung Era: The Period of Establishing the Nuclear Program 7
• 2.1.2 The Kim Jong-Il Era: The Period of Publicizing Nuclear Deterrence 8
• 2.1.3 The Kim Jong-Un Era: The Period of Becoming an Official Nuclear State 11
• 2.2 Analysis of Kim Jong-Un’s Byungjin Policy and its interface with Possible Denuclearization 14
• 2.2.1 Policy Implications of the Byungjin Policy 14
• 2.2.2 Economic Implications of the Byungjin Policy 18
• 2.2.3 Impacts of Kim Jong-Un’s Byungjin Policy on North Korea’s Denuclearization 23
• 2.3 Changes in North Korean Inner Society as related to its Possible Denuclearization 25
• 2.3.1 Changes in North Korean residents’ Perspectives on its Traditional Ideology 25
• 2.3.2 The Role of the Market in the North Korean Society 26
• 2.4 Conclusion 29
• Chapter 3 Major Motives for Denuclearization as Examined through Case Studies 31
• 3.1 Case Studies of Four Denuclearization Paths 31
• 3.1.1 South Africa’s Denuclearization Path 31
• 3.1.2 Ukraine’s Denuclearization Path 35
• 3.1.3 Libya’s Denuclearization Path 38
• 3.1.4 Iran’s Denuclearization Path 41
• 3.1.5 Comparative Analysis of Denuclearization Paths among the Case Studies 45
• 3.2 Application of Denuclearization Motives to North Korea 47
• 3.2.1 The Impact of Security Environment Change on its Denuclearization 47
• 3.2.2 The Impact of International Pressure on its Denuclearization 50
• 3.2.3 The Impact of Domestic Regime Change on its Denuclearization 56
• 3.2.4 Comparative Analysis between Denuclearization Cases Studies and North Korea 60
• Chapter 4 Economic Intervention and Denuclearization of DPRK 62
• 4.1 Reduction in the Level of North Korea’s Trade Dependence on China 62
• 4.2 Assistance in Attracting Foreign Capital for the Activation of the North’s Special Economic Zones 63
• 4.3 Changes in North Korean Residents’ Consciousness: Requesting Revisions of the Byungjin Policy 67
• Chapter 5 Conclusion 74
• BIBLIOGRAPHY 78