청소년비행 예측요인의 종단적 변화 -유대, 모델링, 발달시기 간의 관계- = A longitudinal variation of predicting factors on delinquency trajectories -The relationship among the bonding, modeling and timing-

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

This research aimed to examine variation of the two influential factors affecting delinquency trajectories, with a focus on the effects of parential attachments(pa) and negative peers(np), in so doing, attempted to highlight the better factor which explained at the point of three-wave times of adolescents' development.
This approaches to a mediated model was specified to longitudinal data from the Korea Youth Panel Study(KYPS). Strutural Equation Model analysis were performed. Additionally, bootstraping analysis were used to test significant mediated effects. The results indicated that at the early adolescent's development, pa were directly associated with the delinquency(de),and total effects were siginificant, instead, np were not mediated the relationship between pa with de. At the middle adolescent's development, both pa and np were significant predictors, and np partially mediated the relationship between pa and de. At the latter adolescent's development, both direct effect and total effect of the relationship between pa and de were not significant. instead, np does a role as full mediating effect between np and de. Based on these findings, the results supported the stratiges incresing pa at the earlier, and restraining np at the latter.

국문 초록 (Abstract)

본 연구는 청소년 발달궤적에 따른 비행예측변인의 구체적 변화과정을 발견하고자 하는 것으로, 청소년 발달시기에 따라 부모애착과 비행친구가 비행에 미치는 영향이 어떻게 달라지는지를 알아보는데 있다. 한국청소년패널조사(KYPS)의 초4와 중2의 4회 종단자료를 비행예측 매개모델에 적용하였다. 연구결과 청소년 초기에는 부모애착이 비행에 미치는 직접효과와 총효과는 유의미하였으나, 비행친구의 간접효과는 유의미하지 않았다. 청소년 중기에는 부모애착과 비행친구가 모두 비행에 영향을 미쳐서 부분매개효과를 보였다. 또한 청소년 후기에는 부모애착의 직접효과는 유의미하지 않았고 비행친구의 간접효과가 나타나서 완전매개효과를 보였다. 이는 비행친구가 청소년기 전반에 걸쳐 영향을 미치고 있으며, 특히 청소년 후기로 갈수록 비행친구의 영향력은 점점 증가함을 의미한다. 반면에, 부모애착의 영향력은 청소년 초기에서 후기로 갈수록 점점 감소하는 것을 확인 할 수 있었다.

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